Facts vs Inferences
“…it would be very unlikely for unlikely events not to occur.
If you don’t specify a predicted event precisely, there are an indeterminate
number of ways for an event of that general kind to take place.” -- John
“An inference, as we shall use the term, is a statement about the unknown
made on the basis of the known…... Inferences may be carelessly or carefully
made. They may be made on the basis of a great background of previous
experience with the subject-matter, or no experience at all. For example,
the inferences a good mechanic can make about the internal condition of
a motor by listening to it are often startlingly accurate, while the inferences
made by an amateur (if he tries to make any) may be entirely wrong. But
the common characteristic of inferences is that they are statements about
matters which are not directly known, made on the basis of what has been
observed. “—Hayakawa, Language in Thought and Action, p. 41.